| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2009 | 88–82 | Magic +6 | Magic +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 94–103 | Bulls +9 | Bulls +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 104–120 | Nuggets +16 | Nuggets +14.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 90–95 | 76ers +5 | 76ers +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 107–102 | Grizzlies +5 | Bucks +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 118–104 | Heat +14 | Heat +3.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2009 | 102–95 | Raptors +7 | Knicks +1.4 | Regular Season |