| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2009 | 113–105 | Hawks +8 | Hawks +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 104–106 | Celtics +2 | Celtics +12.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 86–98 | Cavaliers +12 | Cavaliers +17.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 101–130 | Mavericks +29 | Mavericks +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 112–122 | Nuggets +10 | Nuggets +13.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 113–86 | Pistons +27 | Knicks +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 105–97 | Timberwolves +8 | Warriors +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 101–130 | Pacers +29 | Pacers +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 78–81 | Magic +3 | Magic +14.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 105–100 | Suns +5 | Pelicans +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 8, 2009 | 95–83 | Trail Blazers +12 | Spurs +4.3 | Regular Season |