| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2009 | 93–103 | Nets +10 | Magic +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 106–113 | Bulls +7 | Bulls +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 102–106 | Pacers +4 | Pacers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 118–108 | Warriors +10 | Jazz +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 87–72 | Trail Blazers +15 | Trail Blazers +9.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 98–115 | Bucks +17 | Bucks +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 11, 2009 | 110–97 | Suns +13 | Suns +1.7 | Regular Season |