| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2009 | 102–98 | Kings +4 | Bulls +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2009 | 109–91 | Cavaliers +18 | Suns +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2009 | 84–81 | Bucks +3 | Pacers +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2009 | 87–103 | Spurs +16 | Spurs +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 21, 2009 | 99–104 | Magic +5 | Magic +6.1 | Regular Season |