| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 90–84 | Nets +6 | Wizards +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 95–96 | Hornets +1 | Hornets +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 91–99 | Warriors +8 | Bulls +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 104–96 | Raptors +8 | Cavaliers +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 115–93 | Nuggets +22 | Mavericks +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 79–91 | Pacers +12 | Pacers +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 95–104 | Magic +9 | Magic +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 91–100 | Kings +9 | Lakers +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 82–95 | Spurs +13 | Spurs +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 104–100 | Thunder +4 | Thunder +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 85–84 | Pelicans +1 | Suns +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 103–107 | Trail Blazers +4 | Trail Blazers +6.0 | Regular Season |