| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2012 | 78–86 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 115–121 | Bulls +6 | Bulls +12.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 92–109 | Nuggets +17 | Nuggets +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 99–95 | Spurs +4 | Spurs +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 83–93 | Grizzlies +10 | Grizzlies +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 105–90 | Heat +15 | Heat +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 90–87 | Knicks +3 | Knicks +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 85–111 | Thunder +26 | Thunder +10.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 124–109 | Wizards +15 | Trail Blazers +12.0 | Regular Season |