| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 100–101 | Cavaliers +1 | Cavaliers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 108–117 | Pacers +9 | Pacers +8.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 76–89 | Grizzlies +13 | Grizzlies +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 108–120 | Heat +12 | Heat +14.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 97–137 | Trail Blazers +40 | Spurs +1.6 | Regular Season |