| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 85–82 | Warriors +3 | Hawks +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 96–102 | Celtics +6 | Celtics +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 94–109 | Pistons +15 | Pistons +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 96–89 | Bulls +7 | Spurs +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 103–120 | Knicks +17 | Knicks +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 85–96 | Grizzlies +11 | Grizzlies +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 95–104 | Nuggets +9 | Nuggets +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 83–104 | Jazz +21 | Rockets +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 85–104 | Lakers +19 | Lakers +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 95–84 | Raptors +11 | Pelicans +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 92–88 | Thunder +4 | Thunder +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 29, 2012 | 102–95 | Magic +7 | Magic +5.8 | Regular Season |