| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2012 | 86–89 | Heat +3 | Heat +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 71–103 | 76ers +32 | 76ers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 100–101 | Nets +1 | Clippers +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 99–93 | Jazz +6 | Jazz +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 106–104 | Bulls +2 | Bulls +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 100–99 | Cavaliers +1 | Nuggets +11.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 110–92 | Grizzlies +18 | Warriors +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 98–116 | Raptors +18 | Rockets +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 101–106 | Wizards +5 | Lakers +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 94–106 | Timberwolves +12 | Timberwolves +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 98–99 | Kings +1 | Kings +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 105–118 | Spurs +13 | Spurs +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 104–115 | Thunder +11 | Thunder +10.8 | Regular Season |