| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2013 | 94–99 | Heat +5 | Heat +16.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 101–111 | Pacers +10 | Pacers +3.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 91–112 | Thunder +21 | Thunder +10.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 85–99 | Knicks +14 | Knicks +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 90–98 | Wizards +8 | Clippers +4.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 100–98 | Trail Blazers +2 | Timberwolves +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 61–78 | 76ers +17 | 76ers +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 91–98 | Jazz +7 | Jazz +9.6 | Regular Season |