| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2013 | 103–90 | Heat +13 | Heat +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 99–113 | Lakers +14 | Lakers +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 97–94 | Nets +3 | Bucks +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 105–99 | Pistons +6 | Pistons +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 100–105 | Cavaliers +5 | Cavaliers +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 96–111 | Mavericks +15 | Mavericks +11.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 98–108 | Warriors +10 | Warriors +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 119–122 | Rockets +3 | Rockets +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 91–125 | Pacers +34 | Pacers +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 88–82 | Grizzlies +6 | Raptors +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 87–94 | Timberwolves +7 | Timberwolves +3.0 | Regular Season |