| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 99–109 | Heat +10 | Heat +7.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 110–111 | Celtics +1 | Celtics +6.8 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 127–126 | Hornets +1 | Kings +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 109–90 | Knicks +19 | Pistons +0.6 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 91–117 | Lakers +26 | Lakers +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 133–84 | Grizzlies +49 | Rockets +0.7 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 100–105 | Bucks +5 | Bucks +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 118–99 | Suns +19 | Suns +7.9 | Regular Season |