| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2022 | 118–139 | Celtics +21 | Celtics +5.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2022 | 115–124 | Mavericks +9 | Mavericks +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2022 | 125–128 | Nuggets +3 | Nuggets +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2022 | 109–123 | Warriors +14 | Warriors +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2022 | 119–112 | 76ers +7 | Knicks +3.0 | Regular Season |