| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 109–117 | Heat +8 | Heat +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 90–114 | Cavaliers +24 | Cavaliers +13.4 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 122–110 | Rockets +12 | Spurs +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 133–130 | 76ers +3 | Bucks +6.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 138–134 | Timberwolves +4 | Kings +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 116–109 | Raptors +7 | Wizards +4.2 | Regular Season |