| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 123–105 | Hawks +18 | Bulls +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 101–103 | 76ers +2 | 76ers +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 107–102 | Timberwolves +5 | Nets +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 120–100 | Raptors +20 | Raptors +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 117–113 | Cavaliers +4 | Magic +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 103–124 | Rockets +21 | Nuggets +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 118–105 | Heat +13 | Heat +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 125–136 | Warriors +11 | Warriors +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 135–133 | Lakers +2 | Lakers +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 109–119 | Grizzlies +10 | Grizzlies +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 140–128 | Bucks +12 | Bucks +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 121–103 | Kings +18 | Pelicans +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 94–115 | Suns +21 | Suns +14.2 | Regular Season |