| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 25, 2023 | 126–115 | Celtics +11 | Celtics +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2023 | 128–114 | Mavericks +14 | Suns +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2023 | 114–120 | Nuggets +6 | Nuggets +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2023 | 113–119 | Heat +6 | Heat +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 25, 2023 | 122–129 | Knicks +7 | Knicks +1.4 | Regular Season |