| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 138–141 | Hawks +3 | Thunder +3.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 101–112 | Rockets +11 | Rockets +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 100–116 | Knicks +16 | Knicks +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 101–140 | Cavaliers +39 | Cavaliers +11.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 97–126 | Mavericks +29 | Mavericks +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 148–154 | Jazz +6 | Jazz +12.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 130–142 | Pacers +12 | Pacers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 131–122 | Clippers +9 | Suns +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 110–96 | Heat +14 | Lakers +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 116–111 | Raptors +5 | Grizzlies +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 117–106 | Pelicans +11 | Timberwolves +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 135–138 | Kings +3 | Kings +4.2 | Regular Season |