| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024 | 116–150 | Pacers +34 | Pacers +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 97–126 | Celtics +29 | Celtics +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 115–124 | Nets +9 | Thunder +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 91–104 | Bulls +13 | Bulls +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 90–114 | Cavaliers +24 | Cavaliers +11.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 103–139 | Mavericks +36 | Mavericks +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 122–120 | Magic +2 | Nuggets +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 109–113 | Warriors +4 | Warriors +14.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 122–95 | Timberwolves +27 | Timberwolves +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 111–95 | Clippers +16 | Pelicans +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 127–113 | Grizzlies +14 | Lakers +6.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 97–113 | Suns +16 | Suns +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 128–92 | Knicks +36 | 76ers +6.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2024 | 130–135 | Kings +5 | Kings +6.2 | Regular Season |