| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 122–125 | Trail Blazers +3 | Trail Blazers +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 129–140 | Thunder +11 | Thunder +14.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 136–101 | Timberwolves +35 | Timberwolves +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 113–101 | Cavaliers +12 | Spurs +8.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 119–126 | Rockets +7 | Rockets +13.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 130–125 | Knicks +5 | Knicks +5.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 120–107 | Warriors +13 | Warriors +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 123–147 | Heat +24 | Nuggets +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 106–107 | Raptors +1 | Raptors +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 123–113 | Bucks +10 | Hornets +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 115–101 | Suns +14 | Suns +5.8 | Regular Season |