| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | 111–99 | Spurs +12 | Rockets +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 140–124 | Warriors +16 | Warriors +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 118–105 | Timberwolves +13 | Timberwolves +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 112–97 | Hornets +15 | Grizzlies +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 117–106 | Hawks +11 | Celtics +9.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 133–124 | Magic +9 | Heat +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 119–92 | Knicks +27 | Raptors +4.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 110–113 | Pacers +3 | Pacers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 99–129 | Cavaliers +30 | Cavaliers +6.1 | Regular Season |