Final Score: Patriots 37 - Bills 22
Sunday, October 12, 2014 at 1:02 PM ET

Patriots @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Patriots
3-2 Rating 1657
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +4.2
Bills
3-2 Rating 1451
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Bills
All-time wins 54 33
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average points 22.4 18.3
Last meeting 34 20

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Bills
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 24.6 19.2
Avg points conceded 21.4 17.8
Win percentage 60% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%