Final Score: Commanders 24 - Eagles 17
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET

Commanders @ Eagles

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Commanders
4-12 Rating 1395
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
14%
86%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Eagles +13.4
Eagles
11-5 Rating 1701
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Commanders Eagles
All-time wins 55 57
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 20.4 21.2
Last meeting 18 29

Key Season Stats

Stat Commanders Eagles
Games played 16 16
Avg points scored 20.8 22.6
Avg points conceded 27.1 18.8
Win percentage 25% 69%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 71%