Jets @ Bears

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Jets 12 - Bears 23
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
New York
Jets
1-2 Rating 1324
Form: LLWLL
12 – 23
Model Probability
19%
81%
Projected margin: Chicago Bears +10.5
Chicago
Bears
2-1 Rating 1559
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jets Bears
All-time wins 4 9
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 16.1 19.6
Last meeting 31 10

Key Season Stats

Stat Jets Bears
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 21.3 29.7
Avg points conceded 20.3 17.7
Win percentage 33% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%