| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2011 | 14–34 | Chargers +20 | Ravens +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 41–23 | Patriots +18 | Patriots +7.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 19–45 | Eagles +26 | Jets +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 17–20 | Cardinals +3 | Cardinals +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 28–27 | Lions +1 | Raiders +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 42–20 | Saints +22 | Saints +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 28–13 | Panthers +15 | Texans +12.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 38–14 | Seahawks +24 | Bears +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 14–19 | Chiefs +5 | Packers +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 13–27 | Colts +14 | Titans +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 30–23 | Dolphins +7 | Bills +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 23–10 | Commanders +13 | Giants +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 20–13 | Bengals +7 | Bengals +5.6 | Regular Season |