| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2023 | 26–23 | Patriots +3 | Broncos +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 16–27 | Bears +11 | Bears +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 20–22 | Dolphins +2 | Dolphins +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 12–30 | Buccaneers +18 | Buccaneers +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 10–29 | Falcons +19 | Falcons +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 33–30 | Packers +3 | Packers +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 36–22 | Browns +14 | Browns +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 30–24 | Lions +6 | Vikings +3.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 28–30 | Jets +2 | Jets +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2023 | 20–17 | Seahawks +3 | Seahawks +0.3 | Regular Season |