Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Tuesday, March 17, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 37 | 17 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 4 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 70 | 69 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 43% | 32% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 14, 2009 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 12, 2009 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New York Islanders
Mar 10, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 9, 2009 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Edmonton Oilers
Mar 7, 2009 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 5, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 3, 2009 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Islanders
Feb 26, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Rangers
Feb 25, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Lightning
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 14, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 12, 2009 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 11, 2009 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 7, 2009 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 6, 2009 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 3, 2009 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 1, 2009 · Margin: +2 · Total: 14
8-6
@ Vancouver Canucks
Feb 27, 2009 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 24, 2009 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 22, 2009 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3