Final Score: Lightning 2 - Sabres 3
Saturday, April 5, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
44-31 Rating 1546
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1
Sabres
32-42 Rating 1480
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Sabres
All-time wins 52 61
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.8 3.0
Last meeting 6 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Sabres
Games played 75 74
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.3
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.6
Win percentage 59% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 53%