Final Score: Penguins 1 - Lightning 6
Tuesday, March 25, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
29-43 Rating 1460
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.2
Lightning
40-30 Rating 1538
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Lightning
All-time wins 64 54
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 2.9
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Lightning
Games played 72 70
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.6 2.7
Win percentage 40% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 71%