Final Score: Lightning 1 - Senators 2
Thursday, April 3, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 53 | 69 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 74 | 74 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 62% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ New York Islanders
Apr 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Islanders
Mar 29, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 27, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Utah Mammoth
Mar 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Dallas Stars
Mar 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
Senators
vs Buffalo Sabres
Apr 1, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 15, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3