Final Score: Canadiens 2 - Sabres 4
Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Canadiens @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Canadiens | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 153 | 155 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Canadiens | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 89 | 88 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 61% |
Recent Results
Canadiens
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
May 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
May 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Islanders
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Sabres
@ Boston Bruins
May 1, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Boston Bruins
Apr 26, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Boston Bruins
Apr 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Dallas Stars
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ New York Rangers
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3