Stars @ Avalanche

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Stars 3 - Avalanche 2
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Dallas
Stars
2-4 Rating 1532
Form: LWWLL
3 – 2
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +0.7
Colorado
Avalanche
4-2 Rating 1568
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Avalanche
All-time wins 93 104
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Avalanche
Games played 6 6
Avg goals scored 2.2 4.8
Avg goals conceded 1.8 3.2
Win percentage 33% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 67%