Stars @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Stars 1 - Penguins 2
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Dallas
Stars
2-2 Rating 1540
Form: LLLWW
1 – 2
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +0.0
Pittsburgh
Penguins
2-3 Rating 1486
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Stars Penguins
All-time wins 90 117
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.1 3.5
Last meeting 6 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Stars Penguins
Games played 4 5
Avg goals scored 2.5 4.0
Avg goals conceded 1.5 3.2
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%