Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL 2026 season
Record
53-36
VS EXPECTED
3.4
Rating
1550
Rating Rank
5
Rating trend through time
Tampa Bay Lightning Upcoming NHL Matchups
Full schedule
No scheduled matchups modelled for Tampa Bay Lightning.
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | 2–1 | Canadiens +1 | Lightning +0.6 | First Round | |
| May 1, 2026 | 1–0 | Lightning +1 | Canadiens +0.4 | First Round | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | 3–2 | Canadiens +1 | Lightning +0.6 | First Round | |
| Apr 26, 2026 | 3–2 | Lightning +1 | Canadiens +0.4 | First Round | |
| Apr 24, 2026 | 2–3 | Canadiens +1 | Canadiens +0.2 | First Round |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning Panthers | 85-90-10 | 48.6% | -10.2 | 185 |
| Lightning Capitals | 64-94-6 | 40.5% | -12.8 | 164 |
| Lightning Hurricanes | 78-67-10 | 53.8% | +1.1 | 155 |
| Lightning Canadiens | 78-65-6 | 54.5% | +2.7 | 149 |
| Lightning Bruins | 55-80-9 | 40.7% | -11.7 | 144 |
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