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Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Bolton vs Stoke Prediction & Win Probability

Bolton has a 43% chance to win.

3-1-4 · Rating 1600
Form: WWLLL
VS
4-1-3 · Rating 1612
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%18.5%11.2%
If Win <1%2.2%27.2%5.9%
If Draw <1%1.4%19.3%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%13.9%14.9%

Bolton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%10.4%24.5%
If Win <1%<1%14.2%16.8%
If Draw <1%<1%8.4%25.8%
If Lose <1%<1%5.4%33.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BoltonStatStoke
8Games played8
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded1.5
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BoltonStatStoke
3All-time wins (7 meetings, 2 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2018-12-29): Bolton 0–0 Stoke