Championship
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Stoke vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.7% | 10.7% | 50.7% | 1.2% |
| If Win | 5.1% | 15.8% | 53.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 2.9% | 9.3% | 50.9% | 1.5% |
| If Lose | 1.9% | 7.2% | 45.6% | 2.0% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 1.1% | 19.7% | 10.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 1.9% | 25.5% | 6.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.1% | 18.4% | 11.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Stoke | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Stoke | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (18 meetings, 6 draws) | 8 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 3 |
| 0.8 | Average goals | 1.2 |