Championship
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 12:30 PM BST
Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 56% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
Cardiff
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 6.2% | 33.3% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 11.0% | 21.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.4% | 32.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.2% | 39.7% |
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.8% | 11.1% | 50.8% | 1.1% |
| If Win | 4.6% | 12.7% | 55.6% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.0% | 9.8% | 49.3% | 1.4% |
| If Lose | 1.6% | 5.6% | 43.2% | 2.0% |
| Middlesbrough | Stat | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 38% / 12% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 50% / 38% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 0% |
| Middlesbrough | Stat | Cardiff |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | All-time wins (25 meetings, 3 draws) | 9 |
| 4 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 0 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.0 |