Championship
Fri, Oct 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
Bolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability
Middlesbrough has a 39% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Middlesbrough
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 3.8% | 11.2% | 51.6% | 1.3% |
| If Win | 4.9% | 14.4% | 54.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 3.0% | 10.2% | 49.7% | 1.0% |
| If Lose | 2.1% | 7.5% | 44.6% | 2.7% |
Bolton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.6% | 25.7% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 13.4% | 16.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 9.6% | 24.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.9% | 31.3% |
| Bolton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 38% / 12% / 50% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 38% / 12% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Bolton | Stat | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | All-time wins (12 meetings, 1 draws) | 10 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 1.9 |