Championship
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Southampton vs Bolton Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 64% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 21%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bolton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.4% | 24.3% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 16.1% | 14.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 10.0% | 20.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 7.2% | 27.0% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.3% | 28.3% | 52.5% | <1% |
| If Win | 13.0% | 30.4% | 54.9% | <1% |
| If Draw | 8.0% | 22.6% | 55.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 6.6% | 17.1% | 54.1% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.9 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 38% / 12% / 50% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |