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Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

West Ham vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

West Ham has a 55% chance to win.

4-3-1 · Rating 1814
Form: DWWWW
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
55%
20%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.8%29.4%53.6%<1%
If Win 20.9%41.7%47.1%<1%
If Draw 13.4%28.7%54.9%<1%
If Lose 7.3%22.4%56.0%<1%

West Ham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 52.3%73.6%24.0%<1%
If Win 60.5%80.2%18.5%<1%
If Draw 46.1%69.2%27.8%<1%
If Lose 38.0%61.3%34.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

West HamStatSouthampton
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored2.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 38% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
West HamStatSouthampton
12All-time wins (26 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-04-19): West Ham 1–1 Southampton