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Championship
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

Cardiff vs Watford Prediction & Win Probability

Cardiff has a 44% chance to win.

1-4-3 · Rating 1604
Form: WLDLL
VS
2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.5%26.8%
If Win <1%<1%13.0%17.6%
If Draw <1%<1%8.2%25.1%
If Lose <1%<1%6.2%32.3%

Cardiff

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%6.0%33.2%
If Win <1%<1%7.9%25.0%
If Draw <1%<1%5.0%35.7%
If Lose <1%<1%3.2%43.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CardiffStatWatford
8Games played8
1.2Avg goals scored0.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
25% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CardiffStatWatford
8All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2025-01-14): Cardiff 1–1 Watford