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Championship
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Burnley has a 37% chance to win.

2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
VS
0-4-4 · Rating 1670
Form: DLDLD
Model Probability
35%
37%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.3%18.3%13.9%
If Win <1%2.0%24.1%9.2%
If Draw <1%1.1%18.0%13.9%
If Lose <1%<1%13.2%18.8%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.2%26.9%
If Win <1%<1%12.9%17.0%
If Draw <1%<1%8.4%26.2%
If Lose <1%<1%5.6%34.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatBurnley
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
1.2Avg goals conceded2.1
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 50% / 50%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatBurnley
4All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-04-18): Watford 1–2 Burnley