Championship
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Millwall has a 50% chance to win.
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 6.7% | 30.7% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 10.6% | 22.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 8.1% | 29.7% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.3% | 37.7% |
Millwall
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.1% | 3.5% | 34.2% | 4.5% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 4.7% | 38.7% | 2.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | 3.3% | 31.2% | 5.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.3% | 24.9% | 7.9% |
| Millwall | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 38% / 25% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Millwall | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | All-time wins (24 meetings, 8 draws) | 6 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.0 |