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Stoke vs Portsmouth Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 43% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
43%
Draw 27%
30%
Championship
Portsmouth
6-4-5Rating 1651
Form: LWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.0%23.2%2.7%
If Win <1%2.7%30.6%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.3%23.0%2.7%
If Lose <1%1.1%18.4%2.7%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.9%5.4%43.0%<1%
If Win 2.7%7.1%47.8%<1%
If Draw 1.4%4.0%42.3%<1%
If Lose 1.1%3.1%37.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatPortsmouth
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored1.3
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 27% / 33%
57% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatPortsmouth
4All-time wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-11-07): Portsmouth 1–2 Stoke