Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Stoke vs Bristol City Prediction & Win Probability
Stoke has a 40% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Bristol City
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.6% | 29.6% | 6.6% |
| If Win | 1.3% | 4.5% | 34.1% | 3.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.4% | 28.7% | 6.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.3% | 23.1% | 9.2% |
Stoke
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 2.1% | 23.3% | 7.7% |
| If Draw | <1% | 1.2% | 18.5% | 11.0% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
| Stoke | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 12% / 38% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Stoke | Stat | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws) | 8 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.4 | Average goals | 1.3 |