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Stoke vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Stoke has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Stoke
9-2-4Rating 1641
Form: WWWDW
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
30%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.9%21.0%
If Win <1%<1%5.5%15.1%
If Draw <1%<1%3.5%19.8%
If Lose <1%<1%2.4%22.8%

Stoke

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 2.3%6.1%41.4%<1%
If Win 2.8%6.8%48.4%<1%
If Draw 1.7%4.6%41.3%<1%
If Lose 1.3%3.7%37.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StokeStatBurnley
15Games played15
1.6Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded2.1
60% / 13% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
57% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StokeStatBurnley
1All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.5Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2025-01-01): Burnley 0–0 Stoke