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Birmingham vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 50% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%4.0%20.6%
If Win <1%<1%4.9%15.0%
If Draw <1%<1%2.8%20.9%
If Lose <1%<1%2.6%23.7%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.4%19.9%56.8%<1%
If Win 10.5%23.4%57.2%<1%
If Draw 7.3%17.2%58.4%<1%
If Lose 6.7%14.6%56.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatBurnley
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.5
0.9Avg goals conceded2.1
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
50% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatBurnley
4All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2022-12-27): Burnley 3–0 Birmingham