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Championship
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Watford has a 38% chance to win.

2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
VS
2-5-1 · Rating 1650
Form: DWLDD
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%2.4%30.7%6.6%
If Win 1.2%3.2%33.8%4.1%
If Draw <1%2.7%29.7%6.1%
If Lose <1%1.4%25.9%7.7%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.2%25.9%
If Win <1%<1%11.7%21.8%
If Draw <1%<1%7.7%27.2%
If Lose <1%<1%5.9%30.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatBirmingham
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.4
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 62% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatBirmingham
11All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws)3
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.7Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Watford 3–0 Birmingham