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Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Win Probability

Middlesbrough has a 39% chance to win.

2-2-4 · Rating 1605
Form: LLWLL
VS
4-3-1 · Rating 1684
Form: DDWWD
Model Probability
34%
39%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Middlesbrough

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 4.3%10.5%51.3%1.1%
If Win 5.4%15.2%54.4%<1%
If Draw 2.8%10.5%50.0%1.2%
If Lose 2.2%6.9%46.3%2.0%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%8.6%26.0%
If Win <1%<1%13.2%19.2%
If Draw <1%<1%7.7%26.5%
If Lose <1%<1%5.2%33.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatMiddlesbrough
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
50% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatMiddlesbrough
11All-time wins (23 meetings, 5 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Middlesbrough 5–1 Watford