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Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 52% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Southampton
8-4-3Rating 1750
Form: LDWWD
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.0%20.2%57.8%<1%
If Win 13.6%27.2%55.6%<1%
If Draw 8.6%20.1%57.6%<1%
If Lose 8.0%16.5%57.3%<1%

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 25.0%43.2%47.6%<1%
If Win 25.5%45.3%47.1%<1%
If Draw 21.1%39.5%50.3%<1%
If Lose 15.7%32.3%54.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SouthamptonStatBirmingham
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.9
1.0Avg goals conceded0.9
53% / 27% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
86% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SouthamptonStatBirmingham
4All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)0
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
2.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-01): Birmingham 1–1 Southampton