Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 57% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.7% | 28.8% | 7.1% |
| If Win | 1.3% | 3.8% | 34.0% | 4.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.4% | 29.4% | 5.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.2% | 26.5% | 8.5% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.0% | 26.7% | 55.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 12.7% | 30.7% | 54.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.4% | 25.8% | 54.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 7.2% | 20.6% | 57.6% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Southampton | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws) | 0 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 2.3 | Average goals | 1.1 |