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Championship
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Millwall vs Southampton Prediction & Win Probability

Southampton has a 38% chance to win.

3-2-3 · Rating 1662
Form: DDLWL
VS
4-2-2 · Rating 1738
Form: LWWDD
Model Probability
34%
38%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Southampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 10.6%26.2%55.3%<1%
If Win 13.9%32.2%54.5%<1%
If Draw 10.4%26.5%54.8%<1%
If Lose 8.9%23.1%54.8%<1%

Millwall

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%3.6%32.6%4.4%
If Win 1.3%4.4%37.9%2.9%
If Draw <1%3.2%32.9%3.9%
If Lose <1%3.1%30.2%5.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatSouthampton
8Games played8
1.9Avg goals scored2.4
1.9Avg goals conceded1.2
38% / 25% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatSouthampton
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Southampton 5–1 Millwall